Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.021222 0.022811 0.024463 0.026310 0.028318 0.030437 0.032846
2026-01-18 0.018599 0.020889 0.023391 0.026333 0.029708 0.033467 0.037984
2026-01-25 0.016946 0.019658 0.022733 0.026491 0.030979 0.036189 0.042727
2026-02-01 0.015496 0.018444 0.021886 0.026224 0.031576 0.038003 0.046366
2026-02-08 0.014255 0.017336 0.021023 0.025794 0.031847 0.039332 0.049378
2026-02-15 0.013333 0.016526 0.020434 0.025609 0.032342 0.040891 0.052697
2026-02-22 0.012503 0.015763 0.019832 0.025333 0.032656 0.042179 0.055680
2026-03-01 0.011813 0.015127 0.019338 0.025143 0.033035 0.043529 0.058778
2026-03-08 0.011204 0.014553 0.018881 0.024955 0.033377 0.044813 0.061819
2026-03-15 0.010749 0.014154 0.018625 0.025009 0.034029 0.046531 0.065543
2026-03-22 0.010275 0.013702 0.018267 0.024890 0.034414 0.047868 0.068767
2026-03-29 0.009873 0.013324 0.017986 0.024855 0.034901 0.049356 0.072277
2026-04-05 0.009509 0.012996 0.017778 0.024938 0.035604 0.051255 0.076634
2026-04-12 0.009147 0.012656 0.017537 0.024963 0.036223 0.053071 0.080996
2026-04-19 0.008851 0.012393 0.017391 0.025113 0.037027 0.055198 0.085981
2026-04-26 0.008461 0.011975 0.016995 0.024861 0.037190 0.056325 0.089395
2026-05-03 0.008058 0.011517 0.016518 0.024457 0.037085 0.057007 0.092089
2026-05-10 0.007745 0.011180 0.016204 0.024283 0.037326 0.058245 0.095792
2026-05-17 0.007431 0.010827 0.015848 0.024023 0.037409 0.059215 0.099076
2026-05-24 0.007158 0.010524 0.015554 0.023844 0.037608 0.060379 0.102765
2026-05-31 0.006902 0.010236 0.015272 0.023667 0.037794 0.061523 0.106478
2026-06-07 0.006716 0.010048 0.015135 0.023718 0.038361 0.063343 0.111547
2026-06-14 0.006502 0.009809 0.014907 0.023606 0.038638 0.064663 0.115757